> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://rekko.ai/docs/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Event Probability Map

> All outcome probabilities for an event: market price vs estimated probability.

Lightweight extraction from the latest analysis — no new pipeline run.
Requires INSIGHT tier.



## OpenAPI

````yaml GET /v1/events/{slug}/probability-map
openapi: 3.1.0
info:
  title: Rekko AI — Prediction Market Intelligence
  description: >-
    The brain for prediction market trading. Deep AI research, Bayesian causal
    decomposition, portfolio-aware strategy signals, cross-platform arbitrage,
    and execution guidance — all in one API. Covers Kalshi, Polymarket,
    Robinhood, and Coinbase. Clean flat JSON designed for developers and
    autonomous trading agents.
  contact:
    name: Rekko AI
    url: https://rekko.ai/
  license:
    name: Proprietary
  version: 1.0.0
servers:
  - url: https://api.rekko.ai
security: []
tags:
  - name: Markets
    description: Prediction market listings, history, resolution, and execution guidance
  - name: Insights
    description: AI-powered research insights with causal decomposition
  - name: Strategy
    description: >-
      Actionable trading signals with Kelly-derived position sizing and causal
      decomposition
  - name: Portfolio
    description: Portfolio-aware strategy, correlation analysis, and hedge recommendations
  - name: Arbitrage
    description: Cross-platform arbitrage detection (Kalshi vs Polymarket vs Robinhood)
  - name: Analytics
    description: Calibration metrics, sentiment, and performance tracking
  - name: Streaming
    description: Real-time SSE event stream and webhooks
  - name: Consensus
    description: Agent trade aggregation and crowd probability
paths:
  /v1/events/{slug}/probability-map:
    get:
      tags:
        - Event Analysis
      summary: Event probability map
      description: >-
        All outcome probabilities for an event: market price vs estimated
        probability.


        Lightweight extraction from the latest analysis — no new pipeline run.

        Requires INSIGHT tier.
      operationId: /v1/events/{slug}/probability-map
      parameters:
        - name: slug
          in: path
          required: true
          schema:
            type: string
            maxLength: 200
            description: Event slug
            title: Slug
          description: Event slug
      responses:
        '200':
          description: Successful Response
          content:
            application/json:
              schema:
                $ref: '#/components/schemas/EventProbabilityMap'
        '422':
          description: Validation Error
          content:
            application/json:
              schema:
                $ref: '#/components/schemas/HTTPValidationError'
components:
  schemas:
    EventProbabilityMap:
      properties:
        event_slug:
          type: string
          title: Event Slug
          description: Event slug identifier
        event_title:
          type: string
          title: Event Title
          description: Event question/title
        mutually_exclusive:
          anyOf:
            - type: boolean
            - type: 'null'
          title: Mutually Exclusive
          description: Whether outcomes are mutually exclusive
        probability_sum:
          type: number
          title: Probability Sum
          description: Sum of estimated probabilities across all outcomes
        probability_sum_valid:
          type: boolean
          title: Probability Sum Valid
          description: 'Whether the probability sum is valid (for mutex events: ~1.0)'
        outcomes:
          items:
            additionalProperties: true
            type: object
          type: array
          title: Outcomes
          description: 'Per-outcome: {title, market_price, estimated_probability, edge}'
        analyzed_at:
          type: string
          format: date-time
          title: Analyzed At
          description: When the analysis was produced
      type: object
      required:
        - event_slug
        - event_title
        - probability_sum
        - probability_sum_valid
        - outcomes
        - analyzed_at
      title: EventProbabilityMap
      description: Probability map for all outcomes in an event.
    HTTPValidationError:
      properties:
        detail:
          items:
            $ref: '#/components/schemas/ValidationError'
          type: array
          title: Detail
      type: object
      title: HTTPValidationError
    ValidationError:
      properties:
        loc:
          items:
            anyOf:
              - type: string
              - type: integer
          type: array
          title: Location
        msg:
          type: string
          title: Message
        type:
          type: string
          title: Error Type
        input:
          title: Input
        ctx:
          type: object
          title: Context
      type: object
      required:
        - loc
        - msg
        - type
      title: ValidationError

````