kalshiMarch 26, 20261d agoLogan Paul to be subject of next Netflix roast
Will Logan Paul be the primary target of the roast and whose name appears in the official title or promotional materials of the roast special at the next Netflix-produced live or recorded celebrity roast special released on Netflix?
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NO TRADE
Probability
5%
Confidence
LOW
40%
Summary.
I estimate a 5% probability of Logan Paul being the next Netflix roast target, slightly above the market price of 3% due to his controversial nature, but the uncertainty around Netflix's programming choices leads to a low confidence level, making this a NO_BET recommendation.
Reasoning.
I estimate a 5% probability of Logan Paul being the next Netflix roast target, slightly above the market price of 3% due to his controversial nature, but the uncertainty around Netflix's programming choices leads to a low confidence level, making this a NO_BET recommendation.
Key Factors.
Logan Paul is a controversial figure who could attract viewers.
Netflix may want to capitalize on his fame and notoriety.
Other celebrities may be considered more relevant or popular roasting targets.
Netflix's roasting choices are unpredictable.
Risks.
Netflix may choose a different celebrity for the roast.
The roast special may not happen at all.
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