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GET
/
v1
/
markets
/
{platform}
/
{market_id}
/
analysis
Get latest analysis for a market
curl --request GET \
  --url https://api.rekko.ai/v1/markets/{platform}/{market_id}/analysis
import requests

url = "https://api.rekko.ai/v1/markets/{platform}/{market_id}/analysis"

response = requests.get(url)

print(response.text)
const options = {method: 'GET'};

fetch('https://api.rekko.ai/v1/markets/{platform}/{market_id}/analysis', options)
.then(res => res.json())
.then(res => console.log(res))
.catch(err => console.error(err));
<?php

$curl = curl_init();

curl_setopt_array($curl, [
CURLOPT_URL => "https://api.rekko.ai/v1/markets/{platform}/{market_id}/analysis",
CURLOPT_RETURNTRANSFER => true,
CURLOPT_ENCODING => "",
CURLOPT_MAXREDIRS => 10,
CURLOPT_TIMEOUT => 30,
CURLOPT_HTTP_VERSION => CURL_HTTP_VERSION_1_1,
CURLOPT_CUSTOMREQUEST => "GET",
]);

$response = curl_exec($curl);
$err = curl_error($curl);

curl_close($curl);

if ($err) {
echo "cURL Error #:" . $err;
} else {
echo $response;
}
package main

import (
"fmt"
"net/http"
"io"
)

func main() {

url := "https://api.rekko.ai/v1/markets/{platform}/{market_id}/analysis"

req, _ := http.NewRequest("GET", url, nil)

res, _ := http.DefaultClient.Do(req)

defer res.Body.Close()
body, _ := io.ReadAll(res.Body)

fmt.Println(string(body))

}
HttpResponse<String> response = Unirest.get("https://api.rekko.ai/v1/markets/{platform}/{market_id}/analysis")
.asString();
require 'uri'
require 'net/http'

url = URI("https://api.rekko.ai/v1/markets/{platform}/{market_id}/analysis")

http = Net::HTTP.new(url.host, url.port)
http.use_ssl = true

request = Net::HTTP::Get.new(url)

response = http.request(request)
puts response.read_body
{
  "analyzed_at": "2026-03-21T12:00:00Z",
  "confidence": 0.82,
  "edge": 0.09,
  "expires_at": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
  "key_factors": [
    "PCE inflation at 2.1% — within Fed target range",
    "Three FOMC members signaled openness to cuts in recent speeches",
    "Jobless claims trending upward (225K → 238K over 4 weeks)"
  ],
  "market_id": "KXFED-26MAR19",
  "platform": "kalshi",
  "probability": 0.71,
  "recommendation": "BUY_YES",
  "risk_rating": "low",
  "risks": [
    "Strong March employment report could reverse dovish signals",
    "Tariff escalation could reignite inflation expectations"
  ],
  "source_count": 14,
  "summary": "Fed futures imply 68% probability of a March cut. PCE inflation at 2.1% is within the Fed's comfort zone, and three FOMC members have signaled openness to easing. Our research across 14 sources estimates 71% true probability — a 9-point edge over the current market price of 62c.",
  "title": "Will the Fed cut rates at the March 2026 meeting?"
}
{
"detail": [
{
"loc": [
"<string>"
],
"msg": "<string>",
"type": "<string>",
"input": "<unknown>",
"ctx": {}
}
]
}

Path Parameters

platform
string
required
Example:

"kalshi"

market_id
string
required
Example:

"KXAGICO-COMP-28Q1"

Query Parameters

expand
string
default:""

Comma-separated expansions

Response

Successful Response

AI-generated research analysis for a prediction market.

Core fields are always present. Detailed breakdowns available via ?expand=scenarios,causal,meta.

platform
string
required

kalshi, polymarket, robinhood, or coinbase

market_id
string
required

Platform-specific market identifier

title
string
required

Market question

probability
number
required

Rekko's estimated true probability

Required range: 0 <= x <= 1
confidence
number
required

Confidence in the estimate

Required range: 0 <= x <= 1
recommendation
string
required

BUY_YES, BUY_NO, or NO_TRADE

summary
string
required

Executive summary of the analysis

edge
number
default:0

estimated_prob - market_price (positive = underpriced YES)

risk_rating
string
default:medium

low, medium, or high

key_factors
string[]

Top probability drivers

risks
string[]

Ways the analysis could be wrong

source_count
integer
default:0

Number of sources analyzed

analyzed_at
string<date-time>

When the analysis was produced

expires_at
string<date-time> | null

Signal staleness window

freshness
enum<string> | null

Data freshness: fresh (<24h), stale (24-72h), expired (>72h)

Available options:
fresh,
stale,
expired
analysis_type
enum<string> | null

Whether this was a full 4-stage or light 2-call analysis

Available options:
full,
light
scenarios
AnalysisScenario · object[] | null

Bull/base/bear scenarios (?expand=scenarios)

causal
CausalDecomposition · object | null

Causal factor decomposition (?expand=causal)

Example:
{
"factors": [
{
"claim": "Inflation is within Fed's comfort zone",
"confidence": 0.9,
"direction": "supports_yes",
"evidence": [
"PCE Feb 2026: 2.1%",
"Core CPI declining 3 months"
],
"posterior": 0.82,
"prior": 0.6,
"weight": 0.35
},
{
"claim": "Fed rhetoric is dovish",
"confidence": 0.75,
"direction": "supports_yes",
"evidence": [
"Waller speech March 12",
"Bostic: 'open to adjustment'"
],
"posterior": 0.68,
"prior": 0.5,
"weight": 0.3
},
{
"claim": "Tariff uncertainty creates headwinds",
"confidence": 0.6,
"direction": "supports_no",
"evidence": [
"New tariffs announced March 5",
"Trade deficit widening"
],
"posterior": 0.45,
"prior": 0.4,
"weight": 0.2
}
],
"generated_at": "2026-03-21T12:00:00Z",
"method": "weighted_bayesian",
"overall_confidence": 0.82,
"overall_probability": 0.71
}
meta
AnalysisMeta · object | null

Pipeline metadata (?expand=meta)

Example:
{
"calibration_applied": true,
"duration_ms": 42300,
"edge_assessment": "Market at 62c implies 62% probability. Our 71% estimate gives +9c edge — significant at this confidence level.",
"ensemble_disagreement": 0.04,
"ensemble_method": "trimmed_median",
"ensemble_probability": 0.72,
"models_used": [
"gemini-3.1-pro-preview",
"claude-sonnet-4-5"
],
"raw_probability": 0.7,
"what_would_change_mind": [
"CPI surprise above 2.5%",
"Strong employment report (NFP > 250K)",
"Hawkish Fed minutes release"
]
}